Fluid milk production should increase about one percent in 2022 as a greater number of heifers enter milk production. Meanwhile, weak demand for dairy products in the hotel, restaurant and institutional food sector (HRI) will push surplus drinking milk toward further processing into butter, non-fat dry milk, and cheese, for which ending stocks will finish higher in 2021. In turn, imports of butter and NFDM will fall or remain flat through 2022, at which point the easing of COVID-19 travel restrictions should release pent-up demand and require the gradual increase in imports.